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Consulting firm sees weather and freight rates putting pressure on soybean prices.

The market of soy September begins with attention divided between rising prices, the progress of the planting calendar, and the climatic risks that could affect the planting of the 2026/27 crop. According to a survey by TF Agroeconômica, intense rains in the South, restrictions due to the sanitary break, and high logistical costs continue to influence the pace of work and prices in the main producing regions.

In Rio Grande do Sul, rainfall exceeding 80 millimeters could delay the entry of machinery after the end of the sanitary break. The state projects a reduction in the soybean area, but Emater/RS predicts an increase in production with a recovery in productivity. In Ijuí, the price per sack reached R$148.30, while at the port of Rio Grande it was negotiated at R$160.00.

In Santa Catarina, Rio do Sul registered strong price increases, while the FOB reference price in Abelardo Luz reached R$ 155.00, with a maximum of R$ 159.00. In Paraná, the sanitary break ended in a staggered manner in part of the state, allowing planting in several regions. Deral projects production of 22.6 million tons, with a stable area of 5.76 million hectares, and Paranaguá reached R$ 159.00 per sack.

In Mato Grosso do Sul, the sanitary break continues until September 15th, amidst the increase in cases of Asian soybean rust and the forecast of approximately 50 millimeters of rain. In Dourados, the soybean yield was R$ 144.60, and in Campo Grande, it was R$ 145.10.

In Mato Grosso, freight costs between Sorriso and Santos, ranging from R$ 280 to R$ 320 per ton, continue to put downward pressure on prices in the interior. Imea projects production of 48.88 million tons for 2026/27, while Sorriso recorded R$ 139.00 per sack and Rondonópolis, R$ 144.00.

 

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