Soybeans: weather could change crop estimates in Mato Grosso.

In Mato Grosso, the soy It is expected to reach 48.88 million tons in the 2026/27 harvest, according to data released by the Mato Grosso Institute of Agricultural Economics (Imea). Production is estimated for an area of 13.05 million hectares, with a projected productivity of 62.44 sacks per hectare.

Estimates remained unchanged last month because there were no significant changes in market fundamentals compared to the opening projection. As fieldwork progresses, rainfall and temperature patterns will be crucial in confirming the yield potential.

According to data released by Imea, the 2026/27 crop production remains projected at 48.88 million tons. The cultivated area is estimated at 13.05 million hectares, while the average productivity should be 62.44 sacks per hectare. The projected yield is below that recorded in the last two harvests, which presented exceptional results, with averages exceeding 66 sacks per hectare in both.

As fieldwork progresses, the distribution and consistency of rainfall become crucial in determining the productive potential of soybeans. According to data released by Imea, the conditions observed in the coming weeks may confirm the initially projected potential or support possible revisions to future estimates. The regularity of rainfall will therefore be one of the main points of attention for the development of the Mato Grosso crop.

In addition to rainfall, temperature patterns are also a concern for the progress of the harvest. According to data released by Imea, attention for the coming weeks is especially focused on the high temperatures forecast for December. This scenario could interfere with the crop's productive potential and will be monitored as work progresses in the field.