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With the end of the sanitary break on September 15th, planting for the 2025\/2026 soybean crop will be permitted starting September 16th in Mato Grosso do Sul. The expectation is for growth in both cultivated area and production compared to the previous cycle.\u00a0<\/p>\n
According to projections from the Mato Grosso do Sul Soybean Producers Association (Aprosoja\/MS), the planted area could reach 4.79 million hectares, representing an estimated increase of 5.91 TP4T compared to the 2024\/2025 crop, which occupied 4.59 million hectares. The estimated production is 15.2 million tons, an increase of 8.11 TP4T compared to the 14.060 million tons of the last cycle. The projected average productivity is 52.8 sacks per hectare, a growth of 2.01 TP4T over the 51.79 sacks recorded in the previous crop.<\/p>\n
The president of Aprosoja\/MS, Jorge Michelc, believes that the start of planting represents a moment of confidence for the sector, but that it must be accompanied by caution in the face of climatic and economic challenges. \u201cMato Grosso do Sul is experiencing consistent soybean expansion, a result of the dedication of producers and the increasing use of management technologies. However, we know that the climate will be crucial in transforming this potential into reality. Planning and the adoption of modern practices will be fundamental to guaranteeing the expected results and consolidating the strength of our state on the national stage,\u201d he stated.<\/p>\n
The technical coordinator of Aprosoja\/MS, Gabriel Balta, emphasizes that the projected figures for the 2025\/2026 harvest demonstrate the resilience and adaptability of producers in Mato Grosso do Sul. \u201cThe estimate of 15.2 million tons shows a recovery cycle after fluctuations in recent harvests. Producers have invested in more adapted varieties and management strategies. The growth in area and the stability of productivity indicate that there is room for positive results, provided the weather remains within normal parameters,\u201d he highlighted.<\/p>\n
Climate and costs remain risk factors.<\/strong><\/p>\n Although projections are optimistic, crop performance will depend on weather conditions throughout the cycle. Irregular rainfall remains the main source of uncertainty. In recent years, Mato Grosso do Sul has recorded significant losses due to water stress. The productivity projection for 2025\/2026 is considered moderate precisely to account for this historical variability.<\/p>\n According to Mateus Fernandes, an economics analyst at Aprosoja\/MS, another point of concern is the cost of production. \u201cInputs such as fertilizers and pesticides continue to represent a significant portion of the producer's budget, and the data from July 2025 confirm this pressure. Compared to July 2024, there is a significant increase in several fertilizers: MAP rose 43%, Purified MAP 44%, urea 25%, and potassium chloride (KCl) 23%. Even complementary inputs, such as Platinum Manganese Starter (+39%) and Potassium Nitrate (+16%), experienced significant price increases.\u201d<\/p>\n According to Mateus, although some products have registered a temporary drop, such as dolomitic limestone (-7%), the overall trend is upward, which significantly increases the cost of crop nutrition. \u201cThis scenario indicates that soybean production in the 2025\/26 harvest tends to be more expensive, requiring greater financial planning on the part of farmers. Given this, careful resource management and the use of risk mitigation tools, such as crop insurance and forward sales, become even more strategic. These practices help protect profitability in the face of rising costs and tighter margins, ensuring greater security for the producer against market fluctuations.\u201d<\/p>\n Perspectives<\/strong><\/p>\n With an expanded area, expected production growth, and an international market maintaining strong demand, Mato Grosso do Sul enters the 2025\/2026 harvest in a prominent position. \u201cThe scenario is positive, but it requires a balance between optimism and prudence. The ability of producers to combine technology, planning, and risk management will be crucial in transforming projections into concrete results,\u201d concludes Jorge.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\nTHE MM Cereais<\/strong> works with the best grains on the market in the Central West Region and also keeps you up to date with the latest news and analyses on agribusiness.
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