Agribusiness in Tocantins closes 2025 with growth and a VBP of R$ 22.4 billion.

Agribusiness in Tocantins ends the 2025 cycle with a positive nominal performance, reaching a Gross Production Value (GPV) of R$ 22,413.46 million. This amount represents a growth of 8.48% compared to the R$ 20,661 million registered in 2024. Although the advance signals an expansion of local productive activity, the state occupies the 13th position in the national ranking of agricultural revenue among the listed federative units, representing only 1.59% of the total GPV of Brazil.

While Tocantins grew by approximately 8.5%, the national scenario showed a more contained acceleration, but on a monumental scale. Brazil's VBP jumped from R$ 1,233,003.50 million in 2024 to R$ 1,412,203.57 million in 2025, an increase of 14.5%.

This data reveals an important "discrepancy": although Tocantins is on an upward trajectory, the state's growth rate was six percentage points below the national average. While the country expanded its agricultural wealth robustly, Tocantins maintains a marginal share (only 0.01% of the VBP of certain specific products nationwide), showing that the state's economic dynamics are not yet keeping pace with the traction of major agricultural powers such as Mato Grosso and Paraná.

The rural economy of Tocantins remains heavily concentrated. The five main activities account for the vast majority of revenue, with the soy-meat complex being particularly prominent.

1. Soybeans: Absolute leader with R$ of 9,659.3 million. Compared to R$ of 8,955.2 million in 2024, the crop grew by 7.8%, consolidating itself as the engine of the state.

2. Cattle: The livestock sector grossed R$6,841.7 million, an increase of 9.91% compared to R$6,223.5 million of the previous year.

3. Corn: Recorded R$ of 2,553.5 million, a growth of 4.9% compared to the R$ of 2,433.4 million in 2024.

4. Rice: Showed one of the most significant jumps, going from R$ 863.1 million to R$ 1,053.2 million (+22%).

5. Sugarcane: Stabilized at R$ 489.6 million, with a slight increase over the previous R$ 478.5 million.

The poultry and egg sector shows distinct trends. The Gross Production Value (VBP) of chickens rose from R$ 347.2 million to R$ 360.3 million (+3.7%). Egg production, however, saw a more robust growth of 8.8%, reaching R$ 317.8 million. The dairy sector also advanced, going from R$ 253.5 million to R$ 272.2 million. Wheat, on the other hand, does not have significant statistical significance in the state's data.

History

The historical evolution graph (2018–2025) reveals a consistent upward curve. In 2018, the VBP was R$ 11,621 million. The current value of R$ 22,413 million represents an expansion of 92% in seven years.

However, technical analysis suggests mixed growth. Although there are gains in area and productivity (seen in the jump from 2020 to 2021), maintaining the last position in the national ranking and the strong dependence on only two products (soybeans and cattle, which make up 65% of crops and 35% of livestock in the state, respectively) indicate that growth is largely driven by the appreciation of commodities in the global market (nominal value), and less by a change in the regional production matrix.

The data reveals that Tocantins' main structural challenge is not a lack of growth, but rather scale and diversification. The state operates on a model highly concentrated in export commodities, making it vulnerable to international price fluctuations. The low value-added production base (fruits and secondary crops) still does not have sufficient weight to change the state's position in the national ranking, maintaining it as the smallest agricultural economy in the country in terms of total VBP (Value of Agricultural Production).